An Option: Look at the end result of this analysis as applied to Western societies, past and future. Then return here and discover in a stage-by-stage way how that story was developed.
Based on inquiries over many years, we can have a good idea of what the trajectory of political maturation is likely to be.
Like most social predictions… we can be more confident about what will happen than when it will happen; and we can be more confident about the general nature of the change than its specifics.
The background work for political maturation includes:
Only if everything so far has been named and formulated reasonably correctly can we be confident that the trajectory will be a Spiral. The heart of this inquiry is to determine the features of each Stage in the Spiral.
Political life in a society can and does mature through discrete Stages of Development. The THEE-form of the maturational path is now known from other taxonomic studies. It is shown in this diagram.
To clarify details, we need to distinguish certain things:
The «Mode of in the society while cumulatively incorporating values of previous Modes.» refers to those values and institutions intrinsic to political life that are widely viewed as «unchangeable» without a considerable, and usually undesired, effort. The at any point is dominated by the current
We must never lose sight of the two main forces affecting any political choice or governmental solution: «» and « ». There lies the key to outcomes, irrespective of the particular stage of political development.
Societal maturation is a slow process, so you may wish to skip the rest of this section and jump ahead to
To determinants of political choice irrespective of the state of maturity of a society.
To participation in political life (again irrespective of the state of maturity of a society).
This section assumes some familiarity with the determinants of political choice.
Originally posted: July 2009; Last updated: 30-Nov-2011